METHODOLOGY / DERIVED FROM MY WRITING
This is not a generic analyst framework added after the fact. It is a synthesis of the moves that repeat across my papers, presentations, and technical work.
I start by asking a question that is narrow enough to test and important enough to matter. The international-organizations project begins with a specific relationship: internal power dynamics, mediation effectiveness, and the durability of peace agreements.
Read the source work“My strongest work happens when I am investigating a problem, connecting information from different sources, and explaining what matters and why.”Cover letter, 2026
I make the concept measurable before analyzing it. In that paper, effectiveness becomes peace-agreement success, conflict-intensity reduction, and post-conflict stability; power asymmetry becomes a Herfindahl Index.
Read the source work“Looking at the IO’s effectiveness is challenging due to varying definitions of ‘success.’”Power Asymmetries on International Organizations
I do not treat the first pattern as the answer. Conflict type, resource availability, historical relationships, and other controls help isolate the relationship I am actually trying to understand.
Read the source work“Through adding variables that could influence the dependent variable ... we can account for alternative explanations.”Power Dynamics in International Organization presentation
A result is not useful because it is technical. I restate what the model means, which effects are significant, which are weak, and why a reader should care. My technical work follows the same rule: turn abnormal patterns into plain-language findings.
Read the source work“What do these numbers mean in simple terms?”Power Dynamics in International Organization presentation
I separate confidence from conviction. The paper does not claim a perfect model: it records a low model fit, a statistically insignificant direct effect, measurement limitations, and a finding that only partially supports the hypothesis.
Read the source work“Alternative explanations, including resource constraints or inherent difficulties of certain conflict types, remain plausible.”Power Asymmetries on International Organizations
An assessment is only useful when it helps someone decide what to do next. I convert the judgment into indicators to monitor, information gaps to close, and proportionate actions that can change as the evidence changes.
Read the source work“Addressing these risks requires a nuanced approach that goes beyond military solutions.”Original TTP research paper